Before the holiday rush hits

Chargebacks are going to spike this holiday season. Will you be ready?

Every holiday season, small businesses lose thousands, sometimes tens of thousands, in chargeback losses. They achieve record-breaking sales but have no protection in place when fraud hits.

Get a free chargeback risk assessment
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The holidays are good for sales.
They're also good for chargebacks.

Between November and January, ecommerce order volume spikes — and so does everything that follows it: fraud attempts, false claims, and chargebacks that land in your account weeks after the sale.

Here's the math most merchants don't do until it's too late:

One chargeback doesn't cost you the price of the order. It costs you the order, the merchandise, the shipping, the processing fee, and the hour someone spent trying to dispute it.

In 2025, chargebacks cost merchants about $5.75 for every $1 in disputed value. That marks a 45% cost increase from only three years ago.

Merchants see a 40–60% spike in disputes every January following the holiday shopping season, as post-holiday buyer's remorse and friendly fraud hit at scale. That means if chargebacks are a problem for you in October, they're going to be a much bigger problem in December.

"64% of consumers have filed a chargeback for a purchase they actually received."
Consumer study via PYMNTS.com, 2022

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What does your industry stand to lose?

Chargebacks aren't one-size-fits-all. Each industry has its own fraud patterns, peak risk windows, and hidden costs. Here's what the data shows for businesses like yours.

Apparel

Apparel

Risk level: HIGHPeak period: October – January

Apparel is the most-targeted ecommerce category for return fraud and friendly fraud. Chargebacks in this category are most often filed as 'item not as described', frequently by buyers who wore or used the item and then disputed the purchase.

What you're losing?
An estimated 13.7% of apparel returns in 2023 were fraudulent, representing $101 billion in losses across the industry. Friendly fraud, or chargebacks filed on legitimate purchases, accounts for an estimated 70–80% of all disputes in this category.

What that means for your store?
If you're doing $500K in holiday sales and your chargeback rate hits 1%, you're looking at $5,000 in lost orders. That’s before fees, shipping losses, and labor. At a true cost multiplier of about $3.75 per dollar disputed, it’s closer to $18,750 in real damage.

One chargeback is a problem.
A pattern is a crisis.

Here's what most small merchants don't know – chargeback rates are cumulative. Visa and Mastercard both monitor your dispute rate monthly. If you cross their 1% transactions threshold for Visa or 0.9% for Mastercard, you get flagged.

Once flagged, you enter a monitoring program. That means higher fees, mandatory audits, and a clock that's ticking on your ability to process cards at all. Enough violations, and your payment processor can drop you entirely.

A holiday season with unmanaged chargebacks doesn't just hurt Q4. It can follow you into Q1, Q2, and beyond.

3-step escalation

01

Chargeback rate crosses 1%

You're flagged. Higher fees kick in.

02

You enter a monitoring program

Mandatory compliance period begins.

03

Your payment processor drops you

Store can't accept cards. Business stops.

Stop chargebacks before they start. Win them back when they don't.

Most fraud tools do one thing: block suspicious orders. The problem is they block too many, resulting in real customers caught in the net, lost revenue, and no guarantee you won't still get chargebacks. ClearSale does both jobs.

ClearSale Complete Decision:

ClearSale combines AI models and a team of expert analysts to deliver the highest level of fraud protection, so you get the right decision speed for how your store operates. From real-time approvals to full human review, this solution is fully outsourced and requires zero management on your end.

Fraud decisions at the speed your business needs

auto-approves valid orders, flags suspicious ones for secondary review, and delivers the highest decision accuracy in the industry; eligible for ClearSale's Chargeback Guarantee

ChargebackOps:

Hands-on chargeback management and order screening

ChargebackOps provides a fully managed chargeback response service, built for ecommerce businesses that want expert analysts handling their cases instead of a software tool to manage themselves. Your dedicated account analyst works as an extension of your fraud team, investigating each chargeback and responding on your behalf across 100% of cases.

Chargeback Management

dedicated analyst, customized case handling, processor quality audits, and fraud trend intelligence with no integration required

Order Screening & Review

human analysts cross-referencing 30+ data points for fast, reliable decisions and a better-than-90% conversion rate

Fraud Strategy Audit

onsite consulting for teams managing chargebacks in-house, including historical review, compelling evidence templates, and fraud tool recommendations

Customized reporting

throughout, so you always have visibility into case outcomes and fraud trends

Without ClearSale

Blocking real customers to avoid fraud

Absorbing chargebacks as a cost of doing business

Spending hours disputing claims manually

Watching your chargeback rate creep toward the threshold

With ClearSale

Approving more real orders safely

Chargebacks covered under our guarantee

Disputes handled for you, automatically

Your rate stays low. Your processor stays happy.

Don't head into the holiday season without a plan.

Setup is fast. There's no fraud expertise required. And if you start now, you'll have protection in place well before November.

Get a free chargeback risk assessment and see exactly what your business is exposed to and what it would take to fix it.

95%+ fraud reduction
Thousands of ecommerce businesses protected
99% order approval rates
Chargeback guarantee on every approved order